Manchester

How this is scored

Activity score · 14d

35.1

Distinct scored incidents

10

Scoring level

City

Incident points = category × severity × verification × recency × independent-source bonus. Reports of the same event from multiple outlets are grouped before scoring; child-place incidents roll up once to their parents.

Category points:

assault: 8 · attack: 10 · threat: 5 · vandalism: 3 · harassment: 3 · protest: 3 · other: 3

Severity multipliers:

info: ×0.5 · low: ×0.5 · moderate: ×1 · high: ×2 · critical: ×3

Verification multipliers:

confirmed: ×1 · developing: ×0.6 · unverified: ×0.2. Approved news headlines use moderate severity and the confirmed scoring multiplier; this is not confirmation of a direct threat.

Recency:

0–24h: ×1 · 24–72h: ×0.7 · 72–168h: ×0.35; older incidents score 0.

Sources:

+10% per extra independent outlet, capped at +30%.

Posture thresholds for this city

• Elevated: score ≥ 8, or a confirmed Moderate-or-higher alert.
• High: score ≥ 30 with a confirmed High-or-higher alert, or ≥ 6 distinct confirmed/developing scored incidents.
• Critical: score ≥ 45 with a confirmed Critical alert. Activity alone cannot make a place Critical.
• Monitored: none of these thresholds reached; absence of reports does not guarantee safety.
• Parent floor: no lower than the worst child with a confirmed scored contribution minus 1 posture step.
• Hot neighbourhoods: up to 3 neighbourhoods with confirmed/developing scored incidents in the last 72 hours, ranked by score.

Largest contributors

1. Manchester synagogue survivors reflect on year since the Yom Kippur terror attack

   Manchester

   7.7 pts

2. Trial date set for two Iranians accused of plotting Manchester synagogue bomb attack

   Manchester

   7.7 pts

3. Jewish leaders praise community for standing with them after anti-Semitic attack

   Manchester

   3.5 pts